The 'bond market', also known as the debt, credit, or fixed income market, is a
financial market where participants buy and sell
debt securities usually in the form of
bonds. The size of the international bond market is an estimated $45 trillion of which the size of outstanding U.S. bond market debt is $25.2 trillion.
[1]
Nearly all of the $923 billion average daily trading volume in the U.S. Bond Market
[2] takes place between
broker-dealers and large institutions in a decentralized,
over-the-counter (OTC) market. However, a small number of bonds, mainly corporate, are listed on
exchanges.
References to the "bond market" usually refer to the
government bond market because of its size, liquidity, lack of
credit risk and therefore, sensitivity to
interest rates. Because of the inverse relationship between
bond valuation and interest rates, the bond market is often used to indicate changes in interest rates or the shape of the
yield curve.
Market structure
Bond markets in most countries remain decentralized and lack common exchanges like
stock,
future and
commodity markets. This has occurred, in part, because no two bond issues are exactly alike, and the number of different securities outstanding is far larger.
However, the
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is the largest centralized bond market, representing mostly corporate bonds. The NYSE migrated from the Automated Bond System (ABS) to the NYSE Bonds trading system in April 2007 and expects the number of traded issues to increase from 1000 to 6000.
[3]
Types of bond markets
The
Bond Market Association classifies the broader bond market into five specific bond markets.
★ Corporate
★ Government & Agency
★ Municipal
★ Mortgage Backed, Asset Backed, and Collateralized Debt Obligation
★ Funding
Bond market participants
Bond market participants are similar to participants in most
financial markets and are essentially either buyers (debt issuer) of funds or sellers (institution) of funds and often both.
Participants include:
★
Institutional investors;
★ Governments;
★
Traders; and
★ Individuals
Because of the specificity of individual bond issues, and the lack of liquidity in many smaller issues, the majority of outstanding bonds are held by institutions like pension funds, banks and mutual funds. In the
United States, approximately 10% of the market is currently held by private individuals.
Bond market volatility
For market participants who own a bond, collect the coupon and hold it to maturity, market volatility is irrelevant; principal and interest are received according to a pre-determined schedule.
But participants who buy and sell bonds before maturity are exposed to many risks, most importantly changes in interest rates. When interest rates increase (decrease), the value of existing bonds fall (rise), since new issues pay a higher (lower) yield. This is the fundamental concept of bond market volatility: changes in bond prices are inverse to changes in interest rates. Fluctuating interest rates are part of a country's
monetary policy and bond market volatility is a response to expected monetary policy and economic changes.
Economist's consensus views of
economic indicators versus actual released data contribute to market volatility. A tight consensus is generally reflected in bond prices and there is little price movement in the market after the release of "in-line" data. If the economic release differs from the consensus view the market usually undergoes rapid price movement as participants interpret the data. Uncertainty (as measured by a wide consensus) generally brings more volatility before and after an economic release. Economic releases vary in importance and impact depending on where the economy is in the
business cycle.
Bond investments
Investment companies allow individual investors the ability to participate in the bond markets through
bond funds,
closed-end funds and
unit-investment trusts. In 2006 total bond fund net inflows increased 97% from $30.8 billion in 2005 to $60.8 billion in 2006.
[4] Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are another alternative to trading or investing directly in a bond issue. These securities allow individual investors the ability to overcome large initial and incremental trading sizes.
Bond indices
Main articles: Bond market index
A number of bond indices exist for the purposes of managing portfolios and measuring performance, similar to the
S&P 500 or
Russell Indexes for
stocks. The most common American benchmarks are the
Lehman Aggregate,
Citigroup BIG and
Merrill Lynch Domestic Master. Most indices are parts of families of broader indices that can be used to measure global bond portfolios, or may be further subdivided by maturity and/or sector for managing specialized portfolios.
See also
★
Bond
★
Government bond
★
Corporate bond
★
Bond market index
★
Interest rate risk
★
Primary market
★
Secondary market
Notes
1. Outstanding U.S. Bond Market Debt Bond Market Association. Accessed November 13, 2006.
2. Avg Daily Trading Volume SIFMA 2005 Average Daily Trading Volume. Accessed February 19, 2007.
3. NYSE Bonds press release NYSE Bonds. Accessed May 1, 2007.
4. Bond fund flows SIFMA. Accessed April 30, 2007.
External links
★
Investing In Bonds Only: Why This Investment Strategy Doesn't Work... and What Does
★
Investing in Bonds, an education site for bond investors
★
The Bond Market Association
★
ShibuiMarkets
★
Bonds 101, bonds.yahoo.com
★
Fixed-Income Funds
★
USTreasuryMarket.com: Dealer misconduct, including front-running, in government bond market.
★
The End of the Secular Bull Market in Long-Dated U.S. Treasury Bonds? April 21, 2006