NATIONAL ASSEMBLY FOR WALES ELECTION, 2007
(Redirected from Welsh Assembly election, 2007)
The '2007 National Assembly election' was the third general election to the National Assembly for Wales and took place on Thursday 3 May, the same day as local elections in England and Scotland, and the Scottish Parliament election. The previous Assembly election was in 2003.
The election saw Plaid Cymru make gains at the expense of Labour, although Labour remain the largest party in the Assembly, as they have since it began. Plaid have stated they will make a referendum on devolving further powers to the National Assembly a condition for a coalition.[1] icWales reported that senior civil servants before the election were preparing for three possible coalition administrations: Labour/Liberal Democrat, Labour/Plaid Cymru or Plaid Cymru/Liberal Democrat/Conservative.
The Labour Party before the election had 29 seats, Plaid Cymru had 12, the Conservatives 11, the Liberal Democrats 6, Forward Wales 1, with 1 independent (Trish Law). Ms Law won her seat at a 2006 by-election, the seat having been won by Labour in the 2003 election. The one Forward Wales Assembly Member was elected as an independent before forming the party. Otherwise, the standings represent the 2003 results.
{| class="toccolours" align="center" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="margin-centre: .5em; margin-top: .4em;font-size: 90%;"
|-
! colspan=8 bgcolor="#cceeff" align="center"| 2007 Welsh Assembly Election - Party Leaders
|-
! colspan=2 bgcolor="red" align="center"| Labour
! colspan=2 bgcolor="yellow" align="center"| Plaid Cymru
! colspan=2 bgcolor="blue" align="center"| Conservative
! colspan=2 bgcolor="gold" align="center"| Liberal Democrats
|-
| style="background-color:#ff6666" colspan=2|
| style="background-color:#EEEE66" colspan=2|
| style="background-color:#00BFFF" colspan=2|
| style="background-color:#ffa500" colspan=2|
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Rhodri Morgan
First Minister of Wales and Leader of the Welsh Labour Party'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Ieuan Wyn Jones
Leader of Plaid Cymru in the Assembly'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Nick Bourne
Leader of the Welsh Conservative and Unionist Party'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Michael German
Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats in the National Assembly'
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|67
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|56
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|54
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|62
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
& UK Parliament - 14 years (1987 - 2001)
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
& UK Parliament - 14 years (1987 - 2001)
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|2000
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|2000
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|2000
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|1999
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|Civil Servant
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|Solicitor
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|Former Professor of Law and university lecturer
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|Teacher
|}
In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.
|-
| || 'Total' || || || || 40 || || || || || 20 || || 60 || ||
|}
Predictions for the seat distribution following the election:
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
!Forecast by
!Dates
!Lab
!Plaid
!Con
!LD
!|other
|-
|Institute of Welsh Affairs[2]
|2007-01-13
|25
|13
|13
|7
|2
|-
|NOP/ITV[3]||2007-04-06||25||12||14||7||2
|-
|Western Mail[4]||2007-04-27
|25
|15
|10
|8
|2
|}
'NB:' ''candidates in'' 'BOLD' ''text are the incumbent assembly members''
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! Constituency
! Conservative
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
! Others
! Result
|-
| Aberavon
| Daisy Meyland-Smith
| 'Brian Gibbons'
| Claire Waller
| Linett Purcell
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Aberconwy new seat
| Dylan Jones-Evans
| 'Denise Idris Jones'
| Euron Hughes
| Gareth Jones
|
|
| Plaid Cymru win
|-
| Alyn and Deeside
| Will Gallagher
| 'Carl Sargeant'
| Paul Brighton
| Dafydd Passe
| William Crawford
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Arfon new seat
| Gerry Frobisher
| Martin Eaglestone
| Mel ab Owain
| 'Alun Ffred Jones'
| Elwyn Williams
|
| Plaid Cymru win
|-
| Blaenau Gwent
| Bob Hayward
| Keren Bender
| Gareth Lewis
| Natasha Asghar
|
| 'Trish Law (Independent)'
| Independent HOLD
|-
| Brecon and Radnorshire
| Suzy Davies
| Neil Stone
| 'Kirsty Williams'
| Arwel Lloyd
|
|
| LibDem HOLD
|-
| Bridgend
| Emma Greenow
| 'Carwyn Jones'
| Paul Warren
| Nick Thomas
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Caerphilly
| Richard Foley
| 'Jeff Cuthbert'
| Huw Price
| Lindsay Whittle
|
| Ron Davies (Independent)[5]
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Cardiff Central
| Andrew Murphy
| Sue Lent
| 'Jenny Randerson'
| Thomas Whitfield
| Frank Hughes
|
| LibDem HOLD
|-
| Cardiff North
| 'Jonathan Morgan'
| Sophie Howe
| Ed Bridges
| Wyn Jones
| Sir Dai Llewellyn
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Cardiff South and Penarth
| Karen Robson
| 'Lorraine Barrett'
| Dominic Hannigan
| Jason Toby
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Cardiff West
| Craig Williams
| 'Rhodri Morgan'
| Alison Goldworthy
| Neil McEvoy
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
| Henrietta Hensher
| Kevin Madge
| Ian Walton
| 'Rhodri Glyn Thomas'
|
|
| Plaid Cymru HOLD
|-
| Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
| Angela Burns
| 'Christine Gwyther'
| John Gossage
| John Dixon
|
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Ceredigion
| Trefor Jones
| Linda Grace
| John Davies
| 'Elin Jones'
|
| Dafydd Morgan (Independent)
| Plaid Cymru HOLD
|-
| Clwyd South
| John Bell
| 'Karen Sinclair'
| Frank Biggs
| Nia Davies
| David W Rowlands
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Clwyd West
| Darren Millar
| 'Alun Pugh'
| Simon Croft
| Phil Edwards
| Warwick Nicholson
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Cynon Valley
| Neil John
| 'Christine Chapman'
| Margaret Phelps
| Liz Walters
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Delyn
| Antoinette Sandbach
| 'Sandy Mewies'
| Ian Matthews
| Meg Elis
| Derek Bigg
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Dwyfor Meirionnydd new seat
| Mike Wood
| David Phillips
| Steve Churchman
| 'Lord Elis-Thomas'
|
|
| Plaid Cymru
|-
| Gower
| Byron Davies
| 'Edwina Hart'
| Nick Tregoning
| Darren Price
| Alex Lewis
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Islwyn
| Paul Williams
| 'Irene James'
| Mark Maguire
| Alan Pritchard
|
| Kevin Etheridge (Independent)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Llanelli
| Andrew Morgan
| 'Catherine Thomas'
| Jeremy Townsend
| 'Helen Mary Jones'
|
|
| Plaid Cymru GAIN
|-
| Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney
| Giles Howard
| 'Huw Lewis'
| Amy Kitcher
| Glyndwr Cennydd Jones
|
| Clive Tovay & Jeff Edwards (Independents)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Monmouth
| Nick Ramsay
| Richard Clark
| Jacqui Sullivan
| Jonathan T Clark
|
| Ed Abrams (English Democrats)
| Conservative HOLD
|-
| Montgomeryshire
| Dan Munford
| Rachel Maycock
| 'Mick Bates'
| David Thomas
| Bruce Lawson
|
| LibDem HOLD
|-
| Neath
| Andrew Silvertsen
| 'Gwenda Thomas'
| Sheila Waye
| Alun Llewelyn
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Newport East
| Peter Fox
| 'John Griffiths'
| Ed Townsend
| Trefor Puw
|
| Andrew Constantine (English Democrats)[6]
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Newport West
| Matthew Evans
| 'Rosemary Butler'
| Nigel Flanagan
| Brian Hancock
|
| Mike Blundell (English Democrats)[6] & James Harris (Independent)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Ogmore
| Norma Lloyd Nesling
| 'Janice Gregory'
| Martin Plant
| Sian Caiach
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Pontypridd
| Janice Charles
| 'Jane Davidson'
| Mike Powell
| Richard Rhys Grigg
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Preseli Pembrokeshire
| Paul Davies
| 'Tamsin Dunwoody'
| Hywel Davies
| John Osmond
|
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Rhondda
| Howard Parsons
| 'Leighton Andrews'
| Karen Roberts
| Jill Evans
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Swansea East
| Bob Dowdle
| 'Val Lloyd'
| Helen Ceri Clarke
| Danny Bowles
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Swansea West
| Harri Lloyd Davies
| 'Andrew Davies'
| Peter May
| Ian Titherington
| Cllr Richard Lewis
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Torfaen
| Graham Smith
| 'Lynne Neagle'
| Patrick Legge
| Rhys ab Elis
|
| Ian Williams (People's Voice)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Vale of Clwyd
| Matt Wright
| 'Ann Jones'
| Mark Young
| Mark Jones
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Vale of Glamorgan
| Gordon Kemp
| 'Jane Hutt'
| Mark Hooper
| Barry Shaw
| Kevin Mahoney
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Wrexham
| Felicity Elphick
| Lesley Griffiths
| Bruce Roberts
| Siôn Aled Owen
| Peter Lewis
| 'John Marek' (Independent)
| Labour GAIN
|-
| Ynys Môn
| James Roach
| Jonathan Austin
| Mandi Abrahams
| 'Ieuan Wyn Jones'
| Francis Wykes
| Peter Rogers
| Plaid Cymru HOLD
|-
|}
★ Trish Law has defended the seat she won in the 2006 by-election. Then and now, she is standing as an independent, but is affiliated with the Blaenau Gwent People's Voice Group.
★ Ron Davies and John Marek stood as independents, but are members of and continue to play an active role in Forward Wales. Marek is the party's leader, while Davies is their Policy Director.[8] Neither was elected on May 3rd.
===Mid and West Wales===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Ian Si'ree
| 'Nick Bourne'
| Leila Kiersch
| Alun Davies
| Cllr. Bill Powell
| Nerys Evans
| Clive Easton
|-
|2.
| Chris Edwards-Harrill
| 'Glyn Davies'
| Timothy John Foster
| Joyce Watson
| Julianna Hughes
| David Senior
| Nick Powell
|-
|3.
| Lloyd Thomas Morgan
| 'Lisa Francis'
| Marilyn Elson
| Alun Wyn Richards
| Cllr. Ken Harris
| Delyth Richards
| Dennis Taylor
|-
|4.
|
| O. J. Williams
| John Jennings
| Rhiannon Stone
| Selwyn Runnett
| Liz Saville-Roberts
| Virginia Whinnyates
|-
|5.
|
| Richard Minshull
| Chris Simpson
| Dr. Parvaiz Ali
| Cllr. David Peter
|
|
|-
|6.
|
|
|
|
| Emma Hayes
|
|
|-
|7.
|
|
|
|
| Alexander Viol
|
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Labour - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Conservative - 1 seat
===North Wales===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Ennys Hughes
| 'Brynle Williams'
| Jim Killock
| Kenneth Skates
| 'Eleanor Burnham'
| 'Janet Ryder'
| John Bufton
|-
|2.
| Dallus Weaver
| 'Mark Isherwood'
| Joe Blakesley
| Donna Hutton
| Cllr. Tudor Jones
| Dafydd Wigley
| Nathan Gill
|-
|3.
| Simon Darby
| Cllr. Janet Finch-Saunders
| Maredudd ap Rheinallt
| Cllr. Ronnie Hughes
| Bobby Feeley
| Dyfed Edwards
| Elaine Gill
|-
|4.
| Mike Howard
| Paul Rogers
| Cllr. Wilf Hastings
| Wenna Williams
| Cllr. Douglas Madge
| Cllr. Abdul Khan
| Ken Khambatta
|-
|5.
|
| James Davies
|
| Cllr. Chris Hughes
| Cllr. Michael Edwards
|
|
|-
|6.
|
| John Broughton
|
|
| Anne Williams
|
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
===South Wales Central===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! The Socialist Alternative
! UKIP
! 'Socialist Equality Party (UK)'
|-
|1.
| John Walker
| 'David Melding'
| John Matthews
| Iftakhar Khan
| Cllr. John Dixon
| 'Leanne Wood'
| Dave Reid
| John Pratt
| Chris Talbot
|-
|2.
| Vincent McKenzie
| Andrew Davies
| Richard Payne
| Cerys Furlong
| Cllr. Gavin Cox
| Chris Franks
| Rowena Mason
| David Bevan
| David O'Sullivan
|-
|3.
| Tim Windsor
| Victoria Green
| Nigel Baker
| Anthony Hunt
| Alexandra Macmillan
| Gwenllian Lansdown
| Andrew Price
| Dr K. T. Rajan
| Stuart Nolan
|-
|4.
| Mark Deacon
| Richard John
| Richard Clarke
| Jayne Brencher
| Cllr. Asghar Ali
| Mohammed Sarul Islam
| Jane Jackson
| William Potter
| Poopalasingham Thillaivarothayan
|-
|5.
|
| Mike Jones-Pritchard
| Anthony Matthews
| Matt Greenough
| Cllr. Margaret Jones
|
| Alex Gounelas
|
|-
|6.
|
| Jon Burns
|
|
| Andrew Sherwood
|
| Joe Fathallah
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 2 seats
===South Wales East===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! English Democrats
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Robert James Trueman
| 'William Graham'
| Steve Gash
| Ann Were
| Cllr. Mark Whitcutt
| 'Michael German'
| 'Jocelyn Davies'
| David J. Rowlands
|-
|2.
| Peter Greenhalgh
| 'Laura Anne Jones'
| Alan England
| Alasdair McGowen
| Tunji Fahm
| Cllr. Veronica Watkins
| Mohammad Asghar
| Keith Morgan
|-
|3.
| Marlene Jordan
| Leigh Jeffes
| Fred Bishop
| Gerry Layton
| Julie Helen Robinson
| Cllr. Phylip Hobson
| Colin Mann
| Roger Thomas
|-
|4.
| Christopher Robinson
| David Chipp
| David Lane
| Owen Clarke
| John Wright Turner
| Alison Willott
| Glyn Erasmus
| Hugh Moelwyn Hughes
|-
|5.
|
| Andrew Roberts
| Steven Uncles
|
| Rhiannon Passmore
| Cllr. David Hando
|
|
|-
|6.
|
|
| Michael Russell
|
|
| Jean Gray
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Plaid Cymru - 2 seats; Conservative - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
★ Plaid Cymru's Mohammad Asghar is the first ethnic minority member of the Assembly.[9]
===South Wales West===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! The Socialist Alternative
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Clive Bennett
| 'Alun Cairns'
| Rhodri Griffiths
| Howard Davies
| 'Cllr. Peter Black'
| Bethan Jenkins
| Ross Saunders
| Tim Jenkins
|-
|2.
| Nick Griffin
| Chris Smart
| Brig Oubridge
| Cllr. Alana Davies
| Cllr. Jackie Radford
| 'Dr. David Lloyd'
| Alec Thraves
| Mike Squires
|-
|3.
| Tim Windsor
| Gerald Rowbottom
| Jane Richmond
| Cllr. Leighton Veale
| Frank Little
| Lisa Turnbull
| Ron Job
| Denise Robinson
|-
|4.
| Mark Deacon
| Kenneth Watts
| Jonathan Spink
| Cllr. Erika Kirchner
| Cllr. Mike Day
| Carolyn Edwards
| Lianne Francis
| Josie MacDonald
|-
|5.
|
| Bob Smith
|
| David Rees
| Cllr. Peter Foley
|
| Bernard Roome
|
|-
|6.
|
|
|
|
|Cllr. Norah Clarke
|
| Mark Evans
|
|-
|7.
|
|
|
|
| Rachael Hitchinson
|
|
|
|-
|8.
|
|
|
|
| Marilyn Harris
|
|
|
|}
In South Wales West, there are also party lists from the Communist Party of Britain, Christian People's Alliance, RESPECT, Socialist Labour Party, Welsh Christian Party and two independents (Keith James and John Hudson Jenkins).
Thirteen of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly; they include Gareth Jones, who sat in the Assembly from 1999 to 2003 but lost his seat in that election.
★ Mohammad Asghar, Plaid Cymru, South Wales East
★ Angela Burns, Conservative, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
★ Alun Davies, Labour, Mid and West Wales
★ Andrew R. Davies, Conservative, South Wales Central
★ Paul Davies, Conservative, Preseli Pembrokeshire
★ Nerys Evans, Plaid Cymru, Mid and West Wales
★ Chris Franks, Plaid Cymru, South Wales Central
★ Lesley Griffiths, Labour, Wrexham
★ Bethan Jenkins, Plaid Cymru, South Wales West
★ Gareth Jones, Plaid Cymru, Aberconwy (previously represented Conwy, 1999-2003)
★ Darren Millar, Conservative, Clwyd West
★ Nick Ramsay, Conservative, Monmouth
★ Joyce Watson, Labour, Mid and West Wales
Nine sitting AMs were defeated at the polls.
★ Glyn Davies, Conservative, Mid and West Wales
★ Tamsin Dunwoody, Labour, Preseli Pembrokeshire
★ Lisa Francis, Conservative, Mid and West Wales
★ Christine Gwyther, Labour, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
★ Denise Idris Jones, Labour, Conwy (defeated in Aberconwy)
★ Laura Anne Jones, Conservative, South Wales East
★ John Marek, Independent, Wrexham
★ Alun Pugh, Labour, Clwyd West
★ Catherine Thomas, Labour, Llanelli
Four sitting AMs did not offer themselves for re-election.
★ David Davies, Conservative, Monmouth
★ Janet Davies, Plaid Cymru, South Wales West
★ Sue Essex, Labour, Cardiff North
★ Owen John Thomas, Plaid Cymru, South Wales Central
Due to boundary changes the composition of the outgoing Assembly will not reflect the Assembly that was elected in May 2003 (see National Assembly for Wales constituencies and electoral regions). The main changes are in the North west of Wales where the constituencies of Conwy, Caernarfon, and Meirionydd nant Conwy are replaced by Aberconwy, Arfon and Dwyfor Meirionnydd.
Details on these boundary changes can be found at National Assembly 2007 Boundary Changes
★ 'Dragon's Eye': A BBC Wales political current events show that "dares to breathe fire into Welsh politics and public life." ( http://www.bbc.co.uk/wales/dragonseye/ )
★ 'Wales@Westminster newslog' BBC Wales' Parliamentary correspondent David Cornock's diary on political life ( http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/wales/6317033.stm )
★ 'BBC Wales Political On-line News' Page ( http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/wales/default.stm)
★ 'Betsan Powys', BBC Wales' political editor, blogsite (http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/election07/wales/)
★ 'Vaughan Roderick's' Welsh language blogsite (http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/cymraeg/)
★ Blamerbell Briefs (Welsh Assembly blogger)
★ Wales Elects blogsite
★ 'ICWALES National Website' ( http://icwales.icnetwork.co.uk/ )
★ Scottish Parliamentary Election, 2007 and United Kingdom local elections, 2007 the same day
★ One Wales, the resultant coalition agreement.
1. Plaid to seek devolution referendum after election, icWales, 3 January 2007, accessed on 8 February 2007.
2. Labour set to lose out in May's WAG vote, icWales, 2007-01-13, accessed on 2007-01-17.
3. [1], ''icWales'', 2007-04-06, accessed on 2007-04-08
4. [2], ''icWales'', 2007-04-27, accessed on 2007-04-27
5. Davies to contest assembly seat, BBC News, 5 February 2007, accessed 8 February 2007.
6. http://www.englishdemocrats.org.uk/news.php
7. http://www.englishdemocrats.org.uk/news.php
8. http://www.forwardwales.org/ron%20election.pdf
9. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/wales/6622925.stm
★ The Electoral Commission's future elections timetable
★ The Press Association's boundary change site
The '2007 National Assembly election' was the third general election to the National Assembly for Wales and took place on Thursday 3 May, the same day as local elections in England and Scotland, and the Scottish Parliament election. The previous Assembly election was in 2003.
The election saw Plaid Cymru make gains at the expense of Labour, although Labour remain the largest party in the Assembly, as they have since it began. Plaid have stated they will make a referendum on devolving further powers to the National Assembly a condition for a coalition.[1] icWales reported that senior civil servants before the election were preparing for three possible coalition administrations: Labour/Liberal Democrat, Labour/Plaid Cymru or Plaid Cymru/Liberal Democrat/Conservative.
Major parties
The Labour Party before the election had 29 seats, Plaid Cymru had 12, the Conservatives 11, the Liberal Democrats 6, Forward Wales 1, with 1 independent (Trish Law). Ms Law won her seat at a 2006 by-election, the seat having been won by Labour in the 2003 election. The one Forward Wales Assembly Member was elected as an independent before forming the party. Otherwise, the standings represent the 2003 results.
{| class="toccolours" align="center" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="margin-centre: .5em; margin-top: .4em;font-size: 90%;"
|-
! colspan=8 bgcolor="#cceeff" align="center"| 2007 Welsh Assembly Election - Party Leaders
|-
! colspan=2 bgcolor="red" align="center"| Labour
! colspan=2 bgcolor="yellow" align="center"| Plaid Cymru
! colspan=2 bgcolor="blue" align="center"| Conservative
! colspan=2 bgcolor="gold" align="center"| Liberal Democrats
|-
| style="background-color:#ff6666" colspan=2|
| style="background-color:#EEEE66" colspan=2|
| style="background-color:#00BFFF" colspan=2|
| style="background-color:#ffa500" colspan=2|
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Rhodri Morgan
First Minister of Wales and Leader of the Welsh Labour Party'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Ieuan Wyn Jones
Leader of Plaid Cymru in the Assembly'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Nick Bourne
Leader of the Welsh Conservative and Unionist Party'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center" colspan=2 align="center"|'Michael German
Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats in the National Assembly'
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|67
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|56
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|54
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Age'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|62
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
& UK Parliament - 14 years (1987 - 2001)
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
& UK Parliament - 14 years (1987 - 2001)
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Parliament'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|Welsh Assembly 7 years
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|2000
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|2000
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|2000
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Leader since'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|1999
|-
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#FF6666" align="center"|Civil Servant
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#EEEE66" align="center"|Solicitor
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#00BFFF" align="center"|Former Professor of Law and university lecturer
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|'Profession'
|style="background-color:#ffa500" align="center"|Teacher
|}
Electoral method
In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.
Electoral results
|-
| || 'Total' || || || || 40 || || || || || 20 || || 60 || ||
|}
Forecasts
Predictions for the seat distribution following the election:
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
!Forecast by
!Dates
!Lab
!Plaid
!Con
!LD
!|other
|-
|Institute of Welsh Affairs[2]
|2007-01-13
|25
|13
|13
|7
|2
|-
|NOP/ITV[3]||2007-04-06||25||12||14||7||2
|-
|Western Mail[4]||2007-04-27
|25
|15
|10
|8
|2
|}
Constituency nominations
'NB:' ''candidates in'' 'BOLD' ''text are the incumbent assembly members''
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! Constituency
! Conservative
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
! Others
! Result
|-
| Aberavon
| Daisy Meyland-Smith
| 'Brian Gibbons'
| Claire Waller
| Linett Purcell
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Aberconwy new seat
| Dylan Jones-Evans
| 'Denise Idris Jones'
| Euron Hughes
| Gareth Jones
|
|
| Plaid Cymru win
|-
| Alyn and Deeside
| Will Gallagher
| 'Carl Sargeant'
| Paul Brighton
| Dafydd Passe
| William Crawford
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Arfon new seat
| Gerry Frobisher
| Martin Eaglestone
| Mel ab Owain
| 'Alun Ffred Jones'
| Elwyn Williams
|
| Plaid Cymru win
|-
| Blaenau Gwent
| Bob Hayward
| Keren Bender
| Gareth Lewis
| Natasha Asghar
|
| 'Trish Law (Independent)'
| Independent HOLD
|-
| Brecon and Radnorshire
| Suzy Davies
| Neil Stone
| 'Kirsty Williams'
| Arwel Lloyd
|
|
| LibDem HOLD
|-
| Bridgend
| Emma Greenow
| 'Carwyn Jones'
| Paul Warren
| Nick Thomas
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Caerphilly
| Richard Foley
| 'Jeff Cuthbert'
| Huw Price
| Lindsay Whittle
|
| Ron Davies (Independent)[5]
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Cardiff Central
| Andrew Murphy
| Sue Lent
| 'Jenny Randerson'
| Thomas Whitfield
| Frank Hughes
|
| LibDem HOLD
|-
| Cardiff North
| 'Jonathan Morgan'
| Sophie Howe
| Ed Bridges
| Wyn Jones
| Sir Dai Llewellyn
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Cardiff South and Penarth
| Karen Robson
| 'Lorraine Barrett'
| Dominic Hannigan
| Jason Toby
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Cardiff West
| Craig Williams
| 'Rhodri Morgan'
| Alison Goldworthy
| Neil McEvoy
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
| Henrietta Hensher
| Kevin Madge
| Ian Walton
| 'Rhodri Glyn Thomas'
|
|
| Plaid Cymru HOLD
|-
| Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
| Angela Burns
| 'Christine Gwyther'
| John Gossage
| John Dixon
|
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Ceredigion
| Trefor Jones
| Linda Grace
| John Davies
| 'Elin Jones'
|
| Dafydd Morgan (Independent)
| Plaid Cymru HOLD
|-
| Clwyd South
| John Bell
| 'Karen Sinclair'
| Frank Biggs
| Nia Davies
| David W Rowlands
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Clwyd West
| Darren Millar
| 'Alun Pugh'
| Simon Croft
| Phil Edwards
| Warwick Nicholson
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Cynon Valley
| Neil John
| 'Christine Chapman'
| Margaret Phelps
| Liz Walters
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Delyn
| Antoinette Sandbach
| 'Sandy Mewies'
| Ian Matthews
| Meg Elis
| Derek Bigg
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Dwyfor Meirionnydd new seat
| Mike Wood
| David Phillips
| Steve Churchman
| 'Lord Elis-Thomas'
|
|
| Plaid Cymru
|-
| Gower
| Byron Davies
| 'Edwina Hart'
| Nick Tregoning
| Darren Price
| Alex Lewis
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Islwyn
| Paul Williams
| 'Irene James'
| Mark Maguire
| Alan Pritchard
|
| Kevin Etheridge (Independent)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Llanelli
| Andrew Morgan
| 'Catherine Thomas'
| Jeremy Townsend
| 'Helen Mary Jones'
|
|
| Plaid Cymru GAIN
|-
| Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney
| Giles Howard
| 'Huw Lewis'
| Amy Kitcher
| Glyndwr Cennydd Jones
|
| Clive Tovay & Jeff Edwards (Independents)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Monmouth
| Nick Ramsay
| Richard Clark
| Jacqui Sullivan
| Jonathan T Clark
|
| Ed Abrams (English Democrats)
| Conservative HOLD
|-
| Montgomeryshire
| Dan Munford
| Rachel Maycock
| 'Mick Bates'
| David Thomas
| Bruce Lawson
|
| LibDem HOLD
|-
| Neath
| Andrew Silvertsen
| 'Gwenda Thomas'
| Sheila Waye
| Alun Llewelyn
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Newport East
| Peter Fox
| 'John Griffiths'
| Ed Townsend
| Trefor Puw
|
| Andrew Constantine (English Democrats)[6]
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Newport West
| Matthew Evans
| 'Rosemary Butler'
| Nigel Flanagan
| Brian Hancock
|
| Mike Blundell (English Democrats)[6] & James Harris (Independent)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Ogmore
| Norma Lloyd Nesling
| 'Janice Gregory'
| Martin Plant
| Sian Caiach
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Pontypridd
| Janice Charles
| 'Jane Davidson'
| Mike Powell
| Richard Rhys Grigg
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Preseli Pembrokeshire
| Paul Davies
| 'Tamsin Dunwoody'
| Hywel Davies
| John Osmond
|
|
| Conservative GAIN
|-
| Rhondda
| Howard Parsons
| 'Leighton Andrews'
| Karen Roberts
| Jill Evans
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Swansea East
| Bob Dowdle
| 'Val Lloyd'
| Helen Ceri Clarke
| Danny Bowles
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Swansea West
| Harri Lloyd Davies
| 'Andrew Davies'
| Peter May
| Ian Titherington
| Cllr Richard Lewis
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Torfaen
| Graham Smith
| 'Lynne Neagle'
| Patrick Legge
| Rhys ab Elis
|
| Ian Williams (People's Voice)
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Vale of Clwyd
| Matt Wright
| 'Ann Jones'
| Mark Young
| Mark Jones
|
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Vale of Glamorgan
| Gordon Kemp
| 'Jane Hutt'
| Mark Hooper
| Barry Shaw
| Kevin Mahoney
|
| Labour HOLD
|-
| Wrexham
| Felicity Elphick
| Lesley Griffiths
| Bruce Roberts
| Siôn Aled Owen
| Peter Lewis
| 'John Marek' (Independent)
| Labour GAIN
|-
| Ynys Môn
| James Roach
| Jonathan Austin
| Mandi Abrahams
| 'Ieuan Wyn Jones'
| Francis Wykes
| Peter Rogers
| Plaid Cymru HOLD
|-
|}
★ Trish Law has defended the seat she won in the 2006 by-election. Then and now, she is standing as an independent, but is affiliated with the Blaenau Gwent People's Voice Group.
★ Ron Davies and John Marek stood as independents, but are members of and continue to play an active role in Forward Wales. Marek is the party's leader, while Davies is their Policy Director.[8] Neither was elected on May 3rd.
Regional lists
===Mid and West Wales===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Ian Si'ree
| 'Nick Bourne'
| Leila Kiersch
| Alun Davies
| Cllr. Bill Powell
| Nerys Evans
| Clive Easton
|-
|2.
| Chris Edwards-Harrill
| 'Glyn Davies'
| Timothy John Foster
| Joyce Watson
| Julianna Hughes
| David Senior
| Nick Powell
|-
|3.
| Lloyd Thomas Morgan
| 'Lisa Francis'
| Marilyn Elson
| Alun Wyn Richards
| Cllr. Ken Harris
| Delyth Richards
| Dennis Taylor
|-
|4.
|
| O. J. Williams
| John Jennings
| Rhiannon Stone
| Selwyn Runnett
| Liz Saville-Roberts
| Virginia Whinnyates
|-
|5.
|
| Richard Minshull
| Chris Simpson
| Dr. Parvaiz Ali
| Cllr. David Peter
|
|
|-
|6.
|
|
|
|
| Emma Hayes
|
|
|-
|7.
|
|
|
|
| Alexander Viol
|
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Labour - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Conservative - 1 seat
===North Wales===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Ennys Hughes
| 'Brynle Williams'
| Jim Killock
| Kenneth Skates
| 'Eleanor Burnham'
| 'Janet Ryder'
| John Bufton
|-
|2.
| Dallus Weaver
| 'Mark Isherwood'
| Joe Blakesley
| Donna Hutton
| Cllr. Tudor Jones
| Dafydd Wigley
| Nathan Gill
|-
|3.
| Simon Darby
| Cllr. Janet Finch-Saunders
| Maredudd ap Rheinallt
| Cllr. Ronnie Hughes
| Bobby Feeley
| Dyfed Edwards
| Elaine Gill
|-
|4.
| Mike Howard
| Paul Rogers
| Cllr. Wilf Hastings
| Wenna Williams
| Cllr. Douglas Madge
| Cllr. Abdul Khan
| Ken Khambatta
|-
|5.
|
| James Davies
|
| Cllr. Chris Hughes
| Cllr. Michael Edwards
|
|
|-
|6.
|
| John Broughton
|
|
| Anne Williams
|
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
===South Wales Central===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! The Socialist Alternative
! UKIP
! 'Socialist Equality Party (UK)'
|-
|1.
| John Walker
| 'David Melding'
| John Matthews
| Iftakhar Khan
| Cllr. John Dixon
| 'Leanne Wood'
| Dave Reid
| John Pratt
| Chris Talbot
|-
|2.
| Vincent McKenzie
| Andrew Davies
| Richard Payne
| Cerys Furlong
| Cllr. Gavin Cox
| Chris Franks
| Rowena Mason
| David Bevan
| David O'Sullivan
|-
|3.
| Tim Windsor
| Victoria Green
| Nigel Baker
| Anthony Hunt
| Alexandra Macmillan
| Gwenllian Lansdown
| Andrew Price
| Dr K. T. Rajan
| Stuart Nolan
|-
|4.
| Mark Deacon
| Richard John
| Richard Clarke
| Jayne Brencher
| Cllr. Asghar Ali
| Mohammed Sarul Islam
| Jane Jackson
| William Potter
| Poopalasingham Thillaivarothayan
|-
|5.
|
| Mike Jones-Pritchard
| Anthony Matthews
| Matt Greenough
| Cllr. Margaret Jones
|
| Alex Gounelas
|
|-
|6.
|
| Jon Burns
|
|
| Andrew Sherwood
|
| Joe Fathallah
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 2 seats
===South Wales East===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! English Democrats
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Robert James Trueman
| 'William Graham'
| Steve Gash
| Ann Were
| Cllr. Mark Whitcutt
| 'Michael German'
| 'Jocelyn Davies'
| David J. Rowlands
|-
|2.
| Peter Greenhalgh
| 'Laura Anne Jones'
| Alan England
| Alasdair McGowen
| Tunji Fahm
| Cllr. Veronica Watkins
| Mohammad Asghar
| Keith Morgan
|-
|3.
| Marlene Jordan
| Leigh Jeffes
| Fred Bishop
| Gerry Layton
| Julie Helen Robinson
| Cllr. Phylip Hobson
| Colin Mann
| Roger Thomas
|-
|4.
| Christopher Robinson
| David Chipp
| David Lane
| Owen Clarke
| John Wright Turner
| Alison Willott
| Glyn Erasmus
| Hugh Moelwyn Hughes
|-
|5.
|
| Andrew Roberts
| Steven Uncles
|
| Rhiannon Passmore
| Cllr. David Hando
|
|
|-
|6.
|
|
| Michael Russell
|
|
| Jean Gray
|
|}
★ 'RESULT:' Plaid Cymru - 2 seats; Conservative - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
★ Plaid Cymru's Mohammad Asghar is the first ethnic minority member of the Assembly.[9]
===South Wales West===
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!
! BNP
! Conservatives
! Green
! Labour
! Liberal Democrats
! Plaid Cymru
! The Socialist Alternative
! UKIP
|-
|1.
| Clive Bennett
| 'Alun Cairns'
| Rhodri Griffiths
| Howard Davies
| 'Cllr. Peter Black'
| Bethan Jenkins
| Ross Saunders
| Tim Jenkins
|-
|2.
| Nick Griffin
| Chris Smart
| Brig Oubridge
| Cllr. Alana Davies
| Cllr. Jackie Radford
| 'Dr. David Lloyd'
| Alec Thraves
| Mike Squires
|-
|3.
| Tim Windsor
| Gerald Rowbottom
| Jane Richmond
| Cllr. Leighton Veale
| Frank Little
| Lisa Turnbull
| Ron Job
| Denise Robinson
|-
|4.
| Mark Deacon
| Kenneth Watts
| Jonathan Spink
| Cllr. Erika Kirchner
| Cllr. Mike Day
| Carolyn Edwards
| Lianne Francis
| Josie MacDonald
|-
|5.
|
| Bob Smith
|
| David Rees
| Cllr. Peter Foley
|
| Bernard Roome
|
|-
|6.
|
|
|
|
|Cllr. Norah Clarke
|
| Mark Evans
|
|-
|7.
|
|
|
|
| Rachael Hitchinson
|
|
|
|-
|8.
|
|
|
|
| Marilyn Harris
|
|
|
|}
In South Wales West, there are also party lists from the Communist Party of Britain, Christian People's Alliance, RESPECT, Socialist Labour Party, Welsh Christian Party and two independents (Keith James and John Hudson Jenkins).
New members
Thirteen of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly; they include Gareth Jones, who sat in the Assembly from 1999 to 2003 but lost his seat in that election.
★ Mohammad Asghar, Plaid Cymru, South Wales East
★ Angela Burns, Conservative, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
★ Alun Davies, Labour, Mid and West Wales
★ Andrew R. Davies, Conservative, South Wales Central
★ Paul Davies, Conservative, Preseli Pembrokeshire
★ Nerys Evans, Plaid Cymru, Mid and West Wales
★ Chris Franks, Plaid Cymru, South Wales Central
★ Lesley Griffiths, Labour, Wrexham
★ Bethan Jenkins, Plaid Cymru, South Wales West
★ Gareth Jones, Plaid Cymru, Aberconwy (previously represented Conwy, 1999-2003)
★ Darren Millar, Conservative, Clwyd West
★ Nick Ramsay, Conservative, Monmouth
★ Joyce Watson, Labour, Mid and West Wales
Defeated members
Nine sitting AMs were defeated at the polls.
★ Glyn Davies, Conservative, Mid and West Wales
★ Tamsin Dunwoody, Labour, Preseli Pembrokeshire
★ Lisa Francis, Conservative, Mid and West Wales
★ Christine Gwyther, Labour, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
★ Denise Idris Jones, Labour, Conwy (defeated in Aberconwy)
★ Laura Anne Jones, Conservative, South Wales East
★ John Marek, Independent, Wrexham
★ Alun Pugh, Labour, Clwyd West
★ Catherine Thomas, Labour, Llanelli
Retiring members
Four sitting AMs did not offer themselves for re-election.
★ David Davies, Conservative, Monmouth
★ Janet Davies, Plaid Cymru, South Wales West
★ Sue Essex, Labour, Cardiff North
★ Owen John Thomas, Plaid Cymru, South Wales Central
Notional election, 2003
Due to boundary changes the composition of the outgoing Assembly will not reflect the Assembly that was elected in May 2003 (see National Assembly for Wales constituencies and electoral regions). The main changes are in the North west of Wales where the constituencies of Conwy, Caernarfon, and Meirionydd nant Conwy are replaced by Aberconwy, Arfon and Dwyfor Meirionnydd.
Details on these boundary changes can be found at National Assembly 2007 Boundary Changes
Political media outlets
★ 'Dragon's Eye': A BBC Wales political current events show that "dares to breathe fire into Welsh politics and public life." ( http://www.bbc.co.uk/wales/dragonseye/ )
★ 'Wales@Westminster newslog' BBC Wales' Parliamentary correspondent David Cornock's diary on political life ( http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/wales/6317033.stm )
★ 'BBC Wales Political On-line News' Page ( http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/wales/default.stm)
★ 'Betsan Powys', BBC Wales' political editor, blogsite (http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/election07/wales/)
★ 'Vaughan Roderick's' Welsh language blogsite (http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/cymraeg/)
★ Blamerbell Briefs (Welsh Assembly blogger)
★ Wales Elects blogsite
★ 'ICWALES National Website' ( http://icwales.icnetwork.co.uk/ )
See also
★ Scottish Parliamentary Election, 2007 and United Kingdom local elections, 2007 the same day
★ One Wales, the resultant coalition agreement.
Notes
1. Plaid to seek devolution referendum after election, icWales, 3 January 2007, accessed on 8 February 2007.
2. Labour set to lose out in May's WAG vote, icWales, 2007-01-13, accessed on 2007-01-17.
3. [1], ''icWales'', 2007-04-06, accessed on 2007-04-08
4. [2], ''icWales'', 2007-04-27, accessed on 2007-04-27
5. Davies to contest assembly seat, BBC News, 5 February 2007, accessed 8 February 2007.
6. http://www.englishdemocrats.org.uk/news.php
7. http://www.englishdemocrats.org.uk/news.php
8. http://www.forwardwales.org/ron%20election.pdf
9. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/wales/6622925.stm
External links
★ The Electoral Commission's future elections timetable
★ The Press Association's boundary change site
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