Flawed thinking by numbers


Title:
Flawed thinking by numbers

Description:
A look at some of the ways in which people go wrong when they try to use statements of probability in arguments for supernatural beings, divine plans and dismissing evolution. Here is an interactive version of the Monty Hall Dilemma for those who want to see the results of sticking versus switching: www.shodor.org/interactivate/activities/SimpleMontyHall/ .

Author:
QualiaSoup

Tags:
flawed, logic, maths,

Related Videos:

The Rise of Complex Order
*Design and chance are not in any way mutually exclusive *Complexity does come from simplicity *Consciousness is not the only source of progress These are three facts In order for something to be a design it must have a sequence and materials to which the design was brought about Evolution and other sciences ARE the explanation for design outcomes not a requirement for them. Creationism is 'design' without a design process. That is not possible. Accidents do happen. To undermine everything ...
The Problem with Anecdotes by QualiaSoup
Religion is The Great Hijacker Part 6 Soul
It's worth looking at the previous parts (certainly Introduction and Part 2) before viewing this part. If you believe you have a soul, there is something about it that you would do well to consider. In this series, I am not criticising the individual experiences shared by all humans; rather, I attack the cynical clerics, these closet-atheists who have tried to hijack the most personal and precious of those realities that we consider make us who we are. Council of Ex-Muslims of Britain ex ...
The Who Blue red and grey
Pete Townsend's solo track from album, The who by numbers.
Evolution
Addressing some misconceptions and explaining some of the basics.
Thank You to my Subscribers
theramintrees' 'Instruction Manual for Life' uk.youtube.com Channels mentioned: uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com uk.youtube.com Thanks everyone! music © qualiasoup
Slip Kid - The Who
Slip Kid by The Who Pete Townshend: "'Slip Kid' came across as a warning to young kids getting into music that it would hurt them - it was almost parental in its assumed wisdom." This was released in August 1976 in Canada and the US with "Dreaming From The Waist" as its flip side. www.songfacts.com
The problem with anecdotes
A look at some of the pitfalls of using anecdotes to support paranormal and scientific claims in the absence of more rigorous evidence. An example of the Quintina illusion: h1.ripway.com
Absolutely... not
Divine absolute values are claimed by some to be the only valid basis for morality. This video takes a look at some of the many problems with that claim, and its consequent impotence in dismissing the morality of those who do not believe in gods.
Common Sense Is Worthless in Science
Common sense is lauded as a virtue. But is it really? Only within the narrow range of experiences we grow up with. It's often more harmful than helpful in the scientific process. How far should we trust common sense? When does it steer us wrong? Why do we find common sense so appealing? Please feel free to share in the comments your own favorite counter-intuitive scenario that is nevertheless true. en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org