 | Past & Future Climate change - Pt 1of 4 The first of a 4 part presentation where Scientist David Archibald has researched the data that effects Climate change and has worked out the most likely future climate predictions. Inconvenient Truth Author Al Gore would find his views contradicted by this presentation |
 | Al Gore - Reflecting on Climate Change and Global Warming Al Gore - Reflecting on Climate Change and Global Warming I invite you to take 10 minutes to reflect on climate change and Global Warming. Global warming is the increase in the average temperature of the Earth's near-surface air and oceans in recent decades and its projected continuation. Global average air temperature near the Earth's surface rose 0.74 ± 0.18 °C (1.3 ± 0.32 °F) during the past century. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concludes, "most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations," which leads to warming of the surface and lower atmosphere by increasing the greenhouse effect. Natural phenomena such as solar variation combined with volcanoes have probably had a small warming effect from pre-industrial times to 1950, but a small cooling effect since 1950. These basic conclusions have been endorsed by at least 30 scientific societies and academies of science, including all of the national academies of science of the major industrialized countries. The American Association of Petroleum Geologists is the only scientific society that rejects these conclusions, and a few individual scientists also disagree with parts of them. Climate change refers to the variation in the Earth's global climate or in regional climates over time. It describes changes in the variability or average state of the atmosphere over time scales ranging from decades to millions of years. These changes can be caused by processes internal to the Earth, external forces (e.g. variations in sunlight intensity) or, more recently, human activities. In recent usage, especially in the context of environmental policy, the term "climate change" often refers to changes in modern climate which according to the IPCC are 90-95% likely to have been in part caused by human action. Consequently the term anthropogenic climate change is frequently adopted; this phenomenon is also referred to in the mainstream media as global warming. In some cases, the term is also used with a presumption of human causation, as in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The UNFCCC uses "climate variability" for non-human caused variations.[1] For information on temperature measurements over various periods, and the data sources available, see temperature record. For attribution of climate change over the past century, see attribution of recent climate change. Other tags: Heat waves and periods of unusually warm weather Ocean warming, sea-level rise and coastal flooding Glaciers melting Arctic and Antarctic warming Spreading disease Earlier spring arrival Plant and animal range shifts and population changes Coral reef bleaching Downpours, heavy snowfalls, and flooding Droughts and fires Environmental Defense Natural Resources Defense Council Sierra Club Union of Concerned Scientists U.S. Public Interest Research Group World Resources Institute World Wildlife Fund Health Agriculture and Food Supply Forests Ecosystems and Biodiversity Coastal Zones and Sea Level Rise Water Resources Energy Production and Use Other Tags global climate change warming controversy perspective carbon dioxide decision matrix grid scenario row column debate |
 | Arctic/Antarctic Brief comparison of the geography and fauna at the Earth's two polar regions |
 | Past & Future Climate change pt 3 of 4 Part 3 - Scientist David Archibald continues giving the data that shows global climate is more influenced by factors other than CO2 including a correlation with sunspot cycle length. The conclusions are a contradiction for Al Gore and Greens who believe Global Warming and climate change are an issue to worry about |
 | Global Warming: An Unsettled Science Global Warming: An Unsettled Science Despite popular claims by politicians, entertainers and media figures, the science behind global warming is not settled. This video presents some of the more contentious and significant recent developments in climatology. References: IPCC http://www.ipcc.ch/ 2004 von Storch et al. Reconstructing Past Climate from Noisy Data http://w3g.gkss.de/staff/storch/pdf/vonStorch2004science.pdf Response to Rahmstorf von Storch et al. Science, June 30, 2006 http://www.wmconnolley.org.uk/sci/sci-rahm-2006.pdf 2005 Moberg et al. http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/MobergEtAl2005.pdf 2005 Esper et al. http://www.wsl.ch/staff/jan.esper/publications/QSR_Esper_2005.pdf 2005 Mangini et al. http://www.ifir.edu.ar/~redes/ps/EPSL2005.pdf 2006 de Laat and Maurellis http://www.knmi.nl/~laatdej/2006joc1292.pdf 2006 NOAA http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap1-1/finalreport/sap1-1-final-all.pdf http://www.knmi.nl/~laatdej/2006joc1292.pdf 2003 Stott et al. http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/StottEtAl.pdf Sept 2005 Scafetta and West http://www.fel.duke.edu/~scafetta/pdf/2005GL023849.pdf March 2006 Scafetta and West http://www.acrim.com/Reference%20Files/Phenomenological%20solar%20contribution%20to%20the%201900-2000%20global%20surface%20warming.pdf Sept 2006 Scafetta and West http://www.fel.duke.edu/~scafetta/pdf/2006GL027142.pdf NASA website http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/abs_temp.html |
 | Past & Future Climate Change - pt 4 of 4 Part 4 - Scientist David Archibald continues to examine the effect of sunspot cycles that correlate with global temperatures. The conclusion is contradictory to Al Gore and environmentalists believing global warming & Climate change are an issue to be concerned about |
 | Collecting Climate Change Clues in Antarctica Mark Kurz from Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution discusses how he can find out the ages of rocks in Antarctica to discover when ice sheets and glaciers advanced and retreated on the icy continent. That knowledge, in turn, helps scientists learn more about how and why Earth's climate changed in the past, providing clues to determine how humans are affecting Earth's climate today, and the impacts climate change will have on humans in the future. |
 | Britney Spears - Piece of Me Parody: Piece of Meat w/ AVGN This is a parody of Britney Spears' "Piece of Me": http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f4NayXtzsBo and "Toxic" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TkIytHD5v9c (from 0:49-1:08) Outtakes & Behind-the-Scenes: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TUkGQYsZQ8A Starring: Meat Girl - Brittany Brazill http://www.brittanybrazill.com Vocals - Erika Schiff (featuring DJ Q-Ball) Audio Produced by Mo a.k.a. Young Sinatra at The High Street Music Company Video & Lyrics Produced by Matt Conant & Stephanie Yuhas http://www.shinygrape.com Directed by Matt Conant Also starring: James Rolfe as the Angry Video Game Nerd http://www.cinemassacre.com Paul DellAngelo as the Butcher http://www.myspace.com/pauldellstandup Like what you see? Subscribe! To see the lyrics, simply turn on the Captions. Special thanks to the following: Rusty Eveland, Chris Magee and UArts - Cinevore animated logo French subtitles by zecle: http://www.youtube.com/user/zecle Norz Hill Farm http://www.norzhillfarm.com Club Ice - Valley Forge http://www.thisisice.com |
 | Is there any logic of the history of humankind? The documented history of human civilization is supposed to reach several millennia back into the past. For TOC and free Search Inside go to AMAZON. and yet if we consider the rate at which civilization is supposed to have progressed, we encounter periods of obscurity and informational vacuum following the alleged decline of every ancient empire, and then everything starts anew. Inventions are presumed lost for centuries, then re-invented by people whose names bear suspicious semblance to those of the ancient inventors. Just how true all of this is? Could history as we know it really be a collation of several chronicles relating to one and the same period of time? Apparently, this is what the Russian mathematician Anatoly Fomenko claims. He is the author of the first volume in a series of seven that came out in English recently, and generated incredible controversy amongst professional historians worldwide. Many are trying to put the author into one league with numerous paranoid conspiracy theorists and mad inventors - however, all of his work conforms to the highest academic standards and is backed by solid scientific facts; furthermore, some of the most lucid minds of our time support many of the theories put forward by the authors. Garry Kasparov, the world chess champion, says the following in his preface to volume 1: "Let us consider the factor of a mass character that I shall be referring to as psychophysical. Documented history tells us of the insatiable need of human beings to make discoveries. The vector of technological progress is a strictly vertical one. Every ten years something happens: discoveries, sea voyages, explosions... Everything keeps on changing, we see constant evolution - from Columbus to the landing on the Moon, from crossbows to nuclear bombs. Forwards and upwards. However, the traditional ancient history tells us of periods when humanity apparently remained dormant for centuries - "ancient" Egypt, the mediaeval "Dark Ages" - whole epochs of utter stasis in human thinking. It appears that the inhabitants of ancient Egypt and Rome had a different genetic code, and couldn't be bothered about anything at all, so they froze in their development, the result being a total lack of innovative activity. At the same time, there had been prosperous ancient empires where those among homo sapiens who possessed penchants for arts and sciences could get plenty of opportunities for growth and development. But, alas and alack, all of the prosperous "ancient" empires had ceased their development at some point." How many historical documents are counterfeit? We shall never know just how many historical documents are in fact counterfeit. History in general goes hand in hand with the history of forgeries; countless chronicles as well as works of art and literature have been considered authentic for centuries before becoming denounced as counterfeit. A presumed fragment of Cicero's "De Consolatione" discovered by the famous humanist scholar Sigonius only became identified as a work of the latter two centuries after the death of the author -- we would probably still believe in Cicero's authorship of said fragment if it hadn't been for the discovery of Sigonius' written confession. Similar examples are rather abundant -- the "Thespian poet Lucius Varus" who turned out to be a 18th century Dutch scientist by the name of Heerkens plagiarizing from the 16th century Venetian author Corrario, the German "translation" of a Phoenician history tractate by a student named Wagenfeld in the 19th century, "classical" texts sold to the Leipzig library by a certain Schennis in the 1920's and so forth. Think of just how many remain undiscovered -- after all, the larger part of the iceberg always remains underwater. However, there may be an equal amount of valid historical documents in existence that were declared forgeries due to their being at odds with the official history. Anatoly Fomenko, the prominent mathematician, was the first to apply natural scientific methods to historical data, coming up with a revolutionary theory which implies a radical revision of history as we know it. This theory finally explains such historical oddities as the existence of Christian tabernacles in the pagan town of Pompeii and the Ottoman Turks referred to as "Persians" in mediaeval documents. It is rendered in Fomenko's fundamental work entitled: "History: Fiction or Science" which is finally out in English. "Sensational" is a very mild term -- this book is heretical, controversial and clearly subversive -- but even the most uncanny ideas it contains are all backed up by statistics, astronomy, and brilliant logic. Fomenko's book may infuriate you since it contradicts everything you were taught in school, but once you're through with it, your view of history shall never be the same again! |
 | CO2 and Climate Change: 1/4 September 8, 2007 - Professor Bob Carter discusses CO2 and global warming at the annual Australian Environment Foundation in Melbourne, Australia. ------------------------------------------------ FUN FACTS: TEN GLOBAL WARMING MYTHS -VS- FACT Source: http://members.iinet.net.au/~glrmc/new_page_1.htm -------------- MYTH 1: Average global temperature (AGT) has increased over the last few years. FACT 1: Average global temperature has remained steady, or slightly declined, since 1998. -------------- MYTH 2: During the late 20th Century, average global temperature increased at a dangerously fast rate and reached a high point of unprecedented magnitude. FACT 2: The recent rate of average global temperature rise has been between 1 and 2 deg. C/century, which falls squarely within natural rates of climate change for the last 10,000 years. Average global temperature has been several degrees warmer than today many times in the recent geological past. -------------- MYTH 3: Average global temperature was relatively unchanging in pre-industrial times, has sky-rocketed since 1900, and will increase by several degrees more over the next 100 years (the Mann, Bradley & Hughes "hockey stick" curve). FACT 3: The Mann et al. curve has been exposed as a statistical contrivance. There is no convincing empirical evidence that past climate was unchanging, nor that 20th century changes in average global temperature were unusual or unnatural. -------------- MYTH 4: Computer models predict average global temperature will increase by 6 deg. C or more over the next 100 yr. FACT 4: Deterministic computer models do. Other equally valid (empirical) computer models predict cooling. -------------- MYTH 5: Warming of 1-2 deg. C will have catastrophic effects on ecosystems and mankind alike. FACT 5: Ecosystems have been adapting to climate change since time immemorial. The result is the process that we call evolution. Mankind can adapt to all climate extremes. -------------- MYTH 6: Human addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere is causing dangerous warming, and is generally harmful. FACT 6: No human-caused warming can yet be detected that is distinct from natural system variation and noise. Any additional human-caused warming which occurs will probably amount to less than 1 deg. C. Atmospheric carbon dioxide is a beneficial fertilizer for plants, including cereal crops, and also aids efficient evapo-transpiration. -------------- MYTH 7: Changes in solar radiation cannot explain recent changes in average global temperature. FACT 7: The sun's output varies on many time scales (including that of the 11-year sunspot cycle), with concomitant effects on Earth's climate. More than 50% of the 0.8 deg. C rise in average global temperature observed during the 20th century can be attributed to solar change. -------------- MYTH 8: Unprecedented melting of ice is taking place in both the north and south polar regions. FACT 8: Both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are growing in thickness. Sea ice around Antarctica is growing. Temperature is falling at the South Pole. Temperature in the Arctic Ocean region is just now achieving the levels of warmth experienced during the early 1940s, and the region was warmer still (sea-ice free) during earlier times. -------------- MYTH 9: Human-caused global warming is causing dangerous global sea-level (SL) rise. FACT 9: L change differs from time to time and place to place; between 1955 and 1996, for example, SL at Tuvalu fell by 105 mm (2.5 mm/yr). Global average SL is a statistical measure of no value for planning purposes. The global average SL rise of 1-2 mm/yr that has occurred over the last 200 years shows little sign of increasing. -------------- MYTH 10: An increase in average global temperature during the late 20th century has led to an increase in the number of severe storms (cyclones) or in storm intensity. FACT 10: Meteorological experts are agreed that no increase in storms has occurred beyond that associated with natural variation of the climate system. The argument that storms have increased in their intensity as a result of warming remains the subject of strong dispute. ------------------------------------------------ |
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